• Democratic turnout in Tennessee favored Democrats, which is more noteworthy than some other states where this has been the case considering that we don’t have party registration.
  • The media has been desperately trying to turn the Republican race into a two-man race before it legitimately was one. I was (too privately, alas) an early predictor (before Iowa) of Huckabee as a dark horse. And my prediction wasn’t that he would only do well in Iowa. The media tried to cast him as Chucklebee and to be dismissive of another southern candidate. They were wrong. Unlike Thompson, Huckabee has real grassroots support and is successfully tapping it. Voters are thumbing their noses at the media for once.
  • Regarding the rise of Huckabee, did Karl Rove create a monster he can no longer control? Famously announcing and then engineering the turnout of 4 million evangelicals in 2004, could he have failed to foresee the rise of evangelical populism that Huckabee is now tapping into? Would there be irony if Karl Rove turned out to be worse for his vision of a long-term Republican majority than Bill Clinton was for the prospect of a long-term Democratic majority and strong progressive movement?
  • We had a caller to the show on Monday who remarked about the possibility of a Bill Frist return to public view (in the form of a Super Bowl ad) as a reminder of his potential as a vice presidential candidate. Look for him on an eventual short list. I’m still predicting McCain as the nominee, and if the Republicans look South, Frist is as competitive as anyone (certainly more so than Huckabee or Thompson at this point).
  • What is the deal with Ron Paul? How could a Republican candidate who raised more money than his competitors (to the tune of $20 million) in the 4th quarter of 2007 be failing so spectacularly to engineer broader based interest in his campaign? I, for one, think he has a lack of talent in his campaign team. But considering the devotion of the supporters he has, is this evidence of a highly motivated, surprisingly wealthy (and quite possibly racist) lunatic fringe within the Republican party? The contrast between Paul and Huckabee is striking.
  • Obama and Clinton each executed their strategies brilliantly last night. Clinton managed to maintain her firewalls in California and New Jersey, cementing big state wins, and she spat in the eye of the Kennedy-Kerry-Patrick trifecta in Massachusetts. Obama, meanwhile, sought broad-based statewide support and gigantic margins of victory. We’ll see these strategies continue, but they favor Obama in the short term. Clinton now has firewalls in Ohio and Texas, which vote on Mar. 4th. But in the meantime, Obama has the opportunities to pick up wins (and delegates) in Louisiana and D.C., among others. His opportunities don’t happen on the same day as hers from here on out, so he might gather momentum that will finally be hard for her to combat.
  • Fred Thompson didn’t come anywhere close to pulling a Howard Dean in 2004 and winning his home state. And John Edwards had negligible early voting impact.
  • Four counties in West Tennessee had to close polling locations early as a result of weather. What does that mean for voters (and votes)? Would this have tightened the margin in Tennessee?
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I Live in an Obubble

Everyone I know voted for Senator Obama. I need to get out more.

Tennessee
Clinton 54%
Obama 41%

UPDATE: What? There’s no room for a little hyperbole in politics? What’s shaking, A.C.?

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I’ve been following the debate about whether or not to vote for Hillary Clinton for President solely on the basis of her being a woman. Apparently, the New York NOW chapter even issued a statement denouncing Teddy Kennedy’s support for Barack Obama, saying he has “betrayed” them:

He’s joined the list of progressive white men who can’t or won’t handle the prospect of a woman president who is Hillary Clinton (they will of course say they support a woman president, just not “this” one).

So basically what my sisters in New York City are saying is, we’ve fought hard to help women achieve equal rights – including the right to choose their own path and think for themselves – but now we want to tell others how to think. And, if they don’t follow our lead them, well, they’re no true supporter of our cause.

Does anyone else find this absolutely ludicrous?

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Uncounted Tonight at the Belcourt

This morning we interviewed Filmmaker David Earnhardt, who is bringing his election integrity opus, Uncounted: The New Math of American Elections, to the Belcourt Theatre tonight at 6:30 and 9:00 PM.

This feature length documentary tells the story of this systemic threat to our democracy powerfully and thoroughly by examining in factual, logical, and startling terms how easy it is to change election outcomes and undermine election integrity across the U.S.. And let me tell you, it is easy.

UNCOUNTED is showing tonight – the night before Super Tuesday – on purpose. The date was chosen as a symbolic reminder that each of us must be vigilant in protecting our right to vote, which is the cornerstone of our democracy.

And although you think it might be depressing, it’s not. It’s also an uplifting story of a small group of whistleblowers who transform the movie from an overwhelming and frustrating indictment of our election system into an uplifting story of American patriots hell-bent on doing the right thing. These men – computer programmer Clint Curtis, who is directed by his boss to create software that will “flip” votes from one candidate to another, Utah, County Clerk Bruce Funk, who is locked out of his office for raising questions about security flaws in electronic voting machines, and Californian Steve Heller, who gets convicted of a felony after he leaks secret documents detailing illegal activities committed by a major voting machine company – embody what’s best about our country.

U.S. Congressman Jim Cooper, who will join Filmmaker, David Earnhardt, and Tribune Media Services Journalist, Bob Koehler, for a panel discussion following the 6:30 PM screening, says it best, “If you don’t know that your vote is counted, and counted fairly, then we have no democracy. It becomes rule by a small group of elite insiders who manipulate what looks like a democracy for their own advantage.”

Watch the Trailer.

Listen to our interview with David Earnhardt.

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Concert Starts at 4:20

From Reuters:

The Grateful Dead, the San Francisco cult rock band that has played at political events since the 1960s, will reunite on Monday for the first time in four years to rally support for Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama, a spokesman said on Friday.

I’m warming up my Dead dance.

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“…but it’s hard to stay mad, when there’s so much beauty in the world. Sometimes I feel like I’m seeing it all at once, and it’s too much, my heart fills up like a balloon that’s about to burst… And then I remember to relax, and stop trying to hold on to it, and then it flows through me like rain and I can’t feel anything but gratitude for every single moment of my stupid little life…”
- Lester Burnham, American Beauty

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Tennessee’s Electile Dysfunction Ranked in the Top Six

Guess who’s one of 6 states at “High” risk for voting machine mishaps tomorrow? That’s right – Tennessee! Sweet, we win again! Oh, wait….

According to a new report by Common Cause and the Verified Voting Foundation:

Six of the 15 states that hold presidential primaries on Super Tuesday are at “high” risk for having election results affected by electronic voting machine malfunction or tampering…[Arkansas, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New York and Tennessee] were given that ranking for using electronic voting machines that do not produce an independent, voter-verifiable paper record that could be used in the case of a recount or audit.

The report also found that 17 states have a “medium” risk, the classification given to states that “use voting systems that deploy paper ballots or produce a voter-verifiable paper record of each voter’s vote, but do not require audits,” and six states are at “low” risk because they use voting systems that deploy paper ballots or produce voter verifiable paper records and require audits.

It’s a good thing we still have time to do something about it election integrity in Tennessee. But we have to act fast. This week HB 1256 – legislation that will mandate that all voting equipment in Tennessee use or produce a voter-verified paper ballot and that statewide random post-election manual audits be conducted to verify the vote count – will be making it’s way out of the State and Local Government sub-committee and into the full S& L committee for a vote. Tennessee is one of the few states in the country where voter-verified paper ballots are not required by law. The full State and Local Government Committee will meet on Super Tuesday (2/5 – Presidential Primary day) at Noon in room 16. On the same day, at 10:30 in room 12, the Senate committee will hear the Tennessee Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations (TACIR) report, “Trust But Verify,” which recommends that to improve election integrity in Tennessee we move away from electronic voting machines and replace them with paper-based optical scan machines.

Please email and call each member of the Committee and tell them that we need voter verified paper ballots in Tennessee in time for the 2008 elections. Urge them to support HB 1256 (Rep. Gary Moore, D-the fightin’ 50th!), the Voter Confidence Act, which calls for this change no later than 2010. You can also email a link to this latest Common Cause report [pdf] to further send a message.

What’s remarkable about our state legislature is that Rep. Jason Mumpower and others want the balls back because they don’t trust computers to pick our lottery numbers, but they’re still willing to trust them to accurately count our votes.

Also, if you’re having trouble convincing your friends and family that election integrity is a worthwhile issue, please bring them out to the screening of UNCOUNTED: The New Math of American Elections tonight at the Belcourt Theatre. There are two showings – 6:30 and 9 PM – so everyone who wants to see it should be able to get in.

As Bob Edgar, president of Common Cause, says:

“It is senseless that after two presidential elections marked by voting machine failures that some states still use voting systems that do not produce a paper record that can be re-counted if there is a problem. Congress and the states must fix this problem by November. We can’t afford another national election in which voters don’t have full confidence in our election results.”

Amen, brother.

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